And for what it's worth, here are my Tony predicts:
Choreography - Kathleen Marshall, Wonderful Town
Orchestrations - Michael Starobin, Assassins
Book of a Musical - Jeff Whitty, Avenue Q
Original Score - Robert Lopez and Jeff Marx, Avenue Q
Costume Design - Mike Nicholls and Bobby Pearce, Taboo
Lighting Design - Jules Fisher and Peggy Eisenhauer, Assassins
Scenic Design - Robert Brill, Assassins
Direction of a Play - Jack O'Brien, Henry IV
Direction of a Musical - Joe Mantello, Assassins
Featured Actor in a Play - Brían F. O'Byrne, Frozen
Featured Actress in a Play - Audra McDonald, A Raisin in the Sun
Featured Actor in a Musical - Denis O'Hare, Assassins
Featured Actress in a Musical - Anika Noni Rose, Caroline, or Change
Actor in a Play - Jefferson Mays, I Am My Own Wife
Actress in a Play - Phylicia Rashad, A Raisin in the Sun
Actor in a Musical - Hugh Jackman, The Boy From Oz
Actress in a Musical - Tonya Pinkins, Caroline, or Change
Play Revival - A Raisin in the Sun
Musical Revival - Assassins
Play - I Am My Own Wife
Musical - Wicked