"There is a 96 percent chance that El Niño conditions will remain through March, scientists at NOAA and Columbia University reported Thursday, and a 62 percent probability they will continue through May."
It gets worse - one guy actually warned people to get their roofs fixed and stock up - then he joked "Wouldn't it be funny if this whole thing didn't happen?" Then he goes on to say how certain it is and would be worse than 1998.