It will be interesting to see which shows will have staying power post-Tony night.
I have a feeling The Light in the Piazza may not have as long a life as Lincoln Center would like it to have. I'm afraid it will follow the same path that Passion did it after it's Tony wins - closing within a year. It truly - and sort of self-admittedly - has a limited appeal.
Even Spamalot does not seem like a likely candidate for a multi-year run. Maybe two or three... but not beyond that. As DR Ben pointed out - and as I've heard from many others - the show is really for the diehard Monty Python fans. And once that initial built in fan base has seen the show... Who knows? But they have a good advertising/press company, so as long as they keep coming up with good ads, that will help. I also, unfortunately, expect some stunt casting as the run goes along.
I've also heard some "complaints" from people who have seen the show, that the set looks cheap. Yes, there's lots of it, but it looks cheap. These people weren't that familiar with the original "Flying Circus" programs and the very identifiable Monty Python style. So....
*And I have to admit that I was shocked that The Who's Tommy closed as early as it did. It ran and ran and ran, and then the audience just seemed to drop out. I still remember all those promotions they were running during the closing months trying to get people into those seats. Free books. Free CDs. Buy One Get One Free offers.
Spelling Bee did one very smart thing last night - it proved that the show could work in a large house. Hopefully, the show will be tweaked enough for it's tour when it goes from playing the relatively intimate Circle In The Square to the cavernous road houses it will undoubtedly get booked into.
And I think the run of Dirty Rotten Scoundrels will depend on the contracts of it's two leading men. But they're advertising campaign has been very fun and smart too. I think it's main strike is the fact that is not a family show, and, thus, not one that all tour operators could book groups into when they come to New York.
For that, they now have Chitty Chitty Bang Bang.
Any other thoughts, obervations?