Those of us who haven't seen any of the shows are a little at a loss to guess the Tonys. I truly read every website I can to glean different opinions about the merits of these productions, and read intently when HHW DRs attend these shows and give us their opinions.
So, here are some "educated" guesses from someone who's heard only two cast albums (JERSEY BOYS and THE COLOR PURPLE) as far as this year's new productions are concerned.
Best Musical - JERSEY BOYS
Best play - THE HISTORY BOYS
Best Actor in a musical - John Lloyd Young, JERSEY BOYS
Best Actress in a musical - LaChanze, THE COLOR PURPLE
Best Actor in a play - Richard Griffiths, THE HISTORY BOYS
Best Actress in a play - Cynthia Nixon, RABBIT HOLE
Supporting Actor in a musical - Jim Dale, THE THREEPENNY OPERA
Supporting Actress in a musical - Beth Leavel in THE DROWSEY CHAPARONE
Musical Revival - SWEENEY TODD
Play Revival - AWAKE AND SING!
Book and Score - both for THE DROWSEY CHAPARONE